From Kirk Cousins engineering a late Falcons touchdown to Matthew Stafford’s turnovers flipping the Rams-Panthers game, NFL Week 13 delivered some of the wildest swings of the season. Numbers tell…
NFL Week 12 was chaos. The Philadelphia Eagles collapsed in a divisional game against the Dallas Cowboys, surrendering a 21-0 early-second quarter lead and what was, per ESPN Analytics, a…
NFL Week 11 delivered the kind of chaos that breaks win probability charts — nine games decided by one possession and five that saw double-digit swings in the fourth quarter…
NFL Week 10 reminded us momentum doesn’t always follow logic — and neither does win probability, What looked inevitable on paper unraveled in real time, as small moments became catalysts…
Some games feel over before they’re actually over — and in Week 9, a few teams learned that the hard way. It was a classic reminder that while momentum matters,…
Win probability charts were off the wall this week, but not in the way you think. I'll put it simply: NFL Week 8 was full of blowouts. Literally and so…
In sports, what makes a lead safe? Obviously, it depends on the margin and time remaining, but there's another factor, one that goes beyond what we see, one that gets…
If Week 6 taught us anything, it’s that probability doesn’t equal predictability. Three different games — Chargers-Dolphins, Cowboys-Panthers, and Bears-Commanders — each followed the same rhythm: control, collapse, and chaos.…
NFL Week 5 had eight games come within one possession and six with 20 or more fourth quarter points. From beginning to end, we saw it all; critical turnovers, outright…
NFL Week 3 reminded me of the blurred lines between good fortune, preparedness, and the importance of executing late in games. There was chaos. Momentum swung. Win probabilities did, too. …
