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  • Post published:October 22, 2025
  • Post category:NFL Win Probability

NFL Week 7 win probability swings: Broncos’ miracle comeback, Rodgers-Flacco duel, and Packers’ late surge

In sports, what makes a lead safe? Obviously, it depends on the margin and time remaining, but there's another factor, one that goes beyond what we see, one that gets…

Continue ReadingNFL Week 7 win probability swings: Broncos’ miracle comeback, Rodgers-Flacco duel, and Packers’ late surge
  • Post published:October 15, 2025
  • Post category:NFL Win Probability

NFL Week 6: When win probability didn’t mean predictability

If Week 6 taught us anything, it’s that probability doesn’t equal predictability. Three different games — Chargers-Dolphins, Cowboys-Panthers, and Bears-Commanders — each followed the same rhythm: control, collapse, and chaos.…

Continue ReadingNFL Week 6: When win probability didn’t mean predictability
  • Post published:October 8, 2025
  • Post category:NFL Win Probability

NFL Week 5: chaos, comebacks, and costly mistakes define win probability madness

NFL Week 5 had eight games come within one possession and six with 20 or more fourth quarter points. From beginning to end, we saw it all; critical turnovers, outright…

Continue ReadingNFL Week 5: chaos, comebacks, and costly mistakes define win probability madness
  • Post published:October 2, 2025
  • Post category:NFL

NFL Week 4 chaos: Win probability flips, late drama, and shocking finishes

NFL Week 4 was unbelievable. Late chaos. Lead changes. Fanbases getting their hopes up in the second half just to get disappointed in the end. Win probabilities flipping in seconds.…

Continue ReadingNFL Week 4 chaos: Win probability flips, late drama, and shocking finishes
  • Post published:September 24, 2025
  • Post category:NFL Win Probability

NFL Week 3 win probability swings: Packers collapse, Rams heartbreak, Chargers rally, 49ers survive

NFL Week 3 reminded me of the blurred lines between good fortune, preparedness, and the importance of executing late in games. There was chaos. Momentum swung. Win probabilities did, too. …

Continue ReadingNFL Week 3 win probability swings: Packers collapse, Rams heartbreak, Chargers rally, 49ers survive
  • Post published:September 17, 2025
  • Post category:NFL Win Probability

NFL Week 2 win probability swings: Mayfield magic, Cowboys-Giants thriller, and more

NFL Week 2 was a masterclass in chaos. Across the league, teams swung between despair and triumph in the span of a few snaps. Win probabilities spiked and collapsed like…

Continue ReadingNFL Week 2 win probability swings: Mayfield magic, Cowboys-Giants thriller, and more
  • Post published:September 10, 2025
  • Post category:NFL Win Probability

NFL Week 1 win probability swings: Key moments that changed the games

In sports, in football, we often talk about how much momentum matters. For years, momentum has largely been seen as an immeasurable factor, but win probability is now a way…

Continue ReadingNFL Week 1 win probability swings: Key moments that changed the games
  • Post published:August 13, 2025
  • Post category:NFL

Shedeur Sanders and the NFL nepotism debate: Why opportunity matters as much as talent

Since the NFL Draft, I have been thinking about Shedeur Sanders and the nepotism debate: did he get drafted because of his name — because his father is the legendary…

Continue ReadingShedeur Sanders and the NFL nepotism debate: Why opportunity matters as much as talent
  • Post published:August 4, 2025
  • Post category:NFL

Jerry Jones is turning Micah Parsons’ holdout into a spectacle

Micah Parsons requesting a trade from the Dallas Cowboys feels different than the typical player pressuring team approach — because it is. It involves Cowboys general manager Jerry Jones, the…

Continue ReadingJerry Jones is turning Micah Parsons’ holdout into a spectacle
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